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Eredivisie | Gameweek 12
Dec 13, 2020 at 11.15am UK
GelreDome, Arnhem
H

Vitesse
1 - 1
Heerenveen

Darfalou (39')
Wittek (68'), Bazoer (87')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Floranus (54')
Woudenberg (58'), Floranus (90+1')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitesse win with a probability of 53.64%. A win for Heerenveen had a probability of 24.91% and a draw had a probability of 21.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vitesse win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.16%) and 1-0 (7.06%). The likeliest Heerenveen win was 1-2 (6.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.39%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood.

Result
VitesseDrawHeerenveen
53.64%21.45%24.91%
Both teams to score 63.86%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
65.2%34.8%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
43.23%56.77%
Vitesse Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.85%13.15%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.17%39.84%
Heerenveen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.53%26.47%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.34%61.66%
Score Analysis
    Vitesse 53.64%
    Heerenveen 24.91%
    Draw 21.45%
VitesseDrawHeerenveen
2-1 @ 9.52%
2-0 @ 7.16%
1-0 @ 7.06%
3-1 @ 6.44%
3-0 @ 4.84%
3-2 @ 4.28%
4-1 @ 3.27%
4-0 @ 2.46%
4-2 @ 2.17%
5-1 @ 1.33%
5-0 @ 1%
4-3 @ 0.96%
Other @ 3.16%
Total : 53.64%
1-1 @ 9.39%
2-2 @ 6.33%
0-0 @ 3.48%
3-3 @ 1.9%
Other @ 0.36%
Total : 21.45%
1-2 @ 6.24%
0-1 @ 4.63%
0-2 @ 3.08%
2-3 @ 2.8%
1-3 @ 2.76%
0-3 @ 1.36%
2-4 @ 0.93%
1-4 @ 0.92%
Other @ 2.19%
Total : 24.91%

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