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Eredivisie | Gameweek 24
Feb 27, 2021 at 7pm UK
GelreDome, Arnhem
V

Vitesse
4 - 1
VVV-Venlo

Openda (3'), Bazoer (57'), Tronstad (75'), Broja (82')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Giakoumakis (19' pen.)

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitesse win with a probability of 63.45%. A draw had a probability of 20.1% and a win for VVV-Venlo had a probability of 16.43%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vitesse win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.93%) and 1-0 (9.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.44%), while for a VVV-Venlo win it was 1-2 (4.57%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Vitesse would win this match.

Result
VitesseDrawVVV-Venlo
63.45%20.12%16.43%
Both teams to score 54.46%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.26%40.74%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.87%63.13%
Vitesse Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.79%12.21%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
62.12%37.88%
VVV-Venlo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.03%37.97%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.26%74.74%
Score Analysis
    Vitesse 63.45%
    VVV-Venlo 16.43%
    Draw 20.12%
VitesseDrawVVV-Venlo
2-0 @ 10.25%
2-1 @ 9.93%
1-0 @ 9.75%
3-0 @ 7.19%
3-1 @ 6.96%
4-0 @ 3.78%
4-1 @ 3.66%
3-2 @ 3.37%
4-2 @ 1.77%
5-0 @ 1.59%
5-1 @ 1.54%
Other @ 3.67%
Total : 63.45%
1-1 @ 9.44%
2-2 @ 4.81%
0-0 @ 4.64%
3-3 @ 1.09%
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 20.12%
1-2 @ 4.57%
0-1 @ 4.49%
0-2 @ 2.17%
2-3 @ 1.55%
1-3 @ 1.48%
Other @ 2.17%
Total : 16.43%

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