SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitoria de Guimaraes win with a probability of 59.33%. A draw had a probability of 22.5% and a win for Floriana had a probability of 18.21%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.81%) and 2-1 (9.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.68%), while for a Floriana win it was 0-1 (5.8%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Vitoria de Guimaraes would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Vitoria de Guimaraes | Draw | Floriana |
59.33% ( 0.08) | 22.47% ( 0.04) | 18.21% ( -0.12) |
| Both teams to score 50.34% ( -0.34) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.98% ( -0.34) | 48.02% ( 0.34) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.81% ( -0.32) | 70.19% ( 0.31) |
| Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.18% ( -0.09) | 15.82% ( 0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.01% ( -0.16) | 44.99% ( 0.16) |
| Floriana Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.8% ( -0.34) | 40.2% ( 0.34) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.16% ( -0.31) | 76.84% ( 0.31) |
| Score Analysis |
| Vitoria de Guimaraes | Draw | Floriana |
| 1-0 @ 11.72% ( 0.13) 2-0 @ 10.81% ( 0.09)2-1 @ 9.85% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 6.65% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 6.06% ( -0.03)4-0 @ 3.06% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 2.79% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 2.76% ( -0.04)4-2 @ 1.27% ( -0.02)5-0 @ 1.13% ( -0)5-1 @ 1.03% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.19% Total : 59.32% | 1-1 @ 10.68% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 6.36% ( 0.09)2-2 @ 4.49% ( -0.05)Other @ 0.93% Total : 22.46% | 0-1 @ 5.8% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 4.87% ( -0.04)0-2 @ 2.64% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 1.48% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 1.36% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.06% Total : 18.21% |
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