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Eredivisie | Gameweek 17
Jan 17, 2021 at 1.30pm UK
De Koel
H

VVV-Venlo
1 - 1
Heerenveen

John (78')
Post (45+1'), Da Graca (90+3')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Nygren (89')
Veerman (17')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heerenveen win with a probability of 40.42%. A win for VVV-Venlo had a probability of 35.7% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Heerenveen win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.31%) and 0-2 (5.83%). The likeliest VVV-Venlo win was 2-1 (8.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.86%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood.

Result
VVV-VenloDrawHeerenveen
35.7%23.88%40.42%
Both teams to score 61.73%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.55%40.45%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.17%62.83%
VVV-Venlo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.41%22.59%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.81%56.19%
Heerenveen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.75%20.26%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.4%52.6%
Score Analysis
    VVV-Venlo 35.7%
    Heerenveen 40.42%
    Draw 23.87%
VVV-VenloDrawHeerenveen
2-1 @ 8.09%
1-0 @ 6.81%
2-0 @ 5.06%
3-1 @ 4.01%
3-2 @ 3.2%
3-0 @ 2.51%
4-1 @ 1.49%
4-2 @ 1.19%
4-0 @ 0.93%
Other @ 2.4%
Total : 35.7%
1-1 @ 10.86%
2-2 @ 6.46%
0-0 @ 4.58%
3-3 @ 1.7%
Other @ 0.28%
Total : 23.87%
1-2 @ 8.68%
0-1 @ 7.31%
0-2 @ 5.83%
1-3 @ 4.62%
2-3 @ 3.44%
0-3 @ 3.1%
1-4 @ 1.84%
2-4 @ 1.37%
0-4 @ 1.24%
Other @ 3%
Total : 40.42%

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Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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