Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newport County win with a probability of 37.43%. A win for Walsall had a probability of 34.98% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newport County win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.02%) and 0-2 (6.8%). The likeliest Walsall win was 1-0 (10.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.03%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Newport County in this match.
