Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Walsall win with a probability of 46.73%. A win for Notts County had a probability of 30.77% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Walsall win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.65%) and 2-0 (6.17%). The likeliest Notts County win was 1-2 (7.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.8%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood.
0.07) 
-0.02) 
