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Watford vs. Leeds: 6 hrs 27 mins
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WL
Championship | Gameweek 38
Mar 20, 2021 at 3pm UK
Vicarage Road
BL

Watford
3 - 0
Birmingham

Sema (4'), Chalobah (55'), Gray (80')
Success (44')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Pedersen (35')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Watford win with a probability of 56.71%. A draw had a probability of 25.3% and a win for Birmingham City had a probability of 17.97%.

The most likely scoreline for a Watford win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.03%) and 2-1 (9.1%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.6%), while for a Birmingham City win it was 0-1 (7.4%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Watford would win this match.

Result
WatfordDrawBirmingham City
56.71%25.33%17.97%
Both teams to score 41.99%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.02%58.98%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.55%79.45%
Watford Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.15%20.86%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.45%53.55%
Birmingham City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
53.05%46.95%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
17.55%82.45%
Score Analysis
    Watford 56.71%
    Birmingham City 17.97%
    Draw 25.32%
WatfordDrawBirmingham City
1-0 @ 15.35%
2-0 @ 12.03%
2-1 @ 9.1%
3-0 @ 6.29%
3-1 @ 4.75%
4-0 @ 2.46%
4-1 @ 1.86%
3-2 @ 1.8%
Other @ 3.08%
Total : 56.71%
1-1 @ 11.6%
0-0 @ 9.79%
2-2 @ 3.44%
Other @ 0.49%
Total : 25.32%
0-1 @ 7.4%
1-2 @ 4.39%
0-2 @ 2.8%
1-3 @ 1.11%
Other @ 2.27%
Total : 17.97%

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