Unbeaten in five matches at Vicarage Road so far this season, Watford should be confident of turning around their recent form and recording a positive result this weekend. That being said, Sunderland look like a force to be reckoned with this campaign under Le Bris, who should be able to guide his troops to a point in Hertfordshire. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Watford win with a probability of 42.47%. A win for Sunderland had a probability of 32.1% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Watford win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.93%) and 2-0 (7.11%). The likeliest Sunderland win was 0-1 (8.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.04%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Watford would win this match.

Result
Watford	Draw	Sunderland
42.47%	25.42% ( 0)	32.1%

Both teams to score 55.26%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.55%

48.44% (

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.42%

70.58% (

Watford Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.29% (

22.71%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.62%

56.38% (

Sunderland Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.5% (

28.5%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.73%

64.27% (

Score Analysis

Watford 42.47%

Sunderland 32.1%

Draw 25.42%

Watford	Draw	Sunderland
1-0 @ 9.59% 2-1 @ 8.93% 2-0 @ 7.11% 3-1 @ 4.41% 3-0 @ 3.51% 3-2 @ 2.77% 4-1 @ 1.63% 4-0 @ 1.3% 4-2 @ 1.03% Other @ 2.19% Total : 42.47%	1-1 @ 12.04% 0-0 @ 6.47% 2-2 @ 5.6% 3-3 @ 1.16% Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.42%	0-1 @ 8.13% 1-2 @ 7.56% 0-2 @ 5.1% 1-3 @ 3.16% 2-3 @ 2.35% 0-3 @ 2.14% 1-4 @ 0.99% Other @ 2.68% Total : 32.1%