Wellington
4 - 1
Victory

Hemed (11'), Ball (36'), Davila (62'), Lewis (68')
Fenton (74')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Kamsoba (76')
Traore (65'), Kruse (70'), Butterfield (90+1')

Preview

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Australian A-League clash between Wellington Phoenix and Melbourne Victory, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wellington Phoenix win with a probability of 47.31%. A win for Melbourne Victory had a probability of 28.27% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wellington Phoenix win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.4%) and 2-0 (7.77%). The likeliest Melbourne Victory win was 0-1 (7.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.49%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Wellington Phoenix would win this match.

Result
Wellington Phoenix	Draw	Melbourne Victory
47.31%	24.42%	28.27%

Both teams to score 56.5%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.13%

45.87%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.81%

68.18%

Wellington Phoenix Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.51%

19.48%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.65%

51.35%

Melbourne Victory Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.17%

29.83%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.08%

65.91%

Score Analysis

Wellington Phoenix 47.31%

Melbourne Victory 28.27%

Draw 24.41%

Wellington Phoenix	Draw	Melbourne Victory
1-0 @ 9.51% 2-1 @ 9.4% 2-0 @ 7.77% 3-1 @ 5.13% 3-0 @ 4.24% 3-2 @ 3.1% 4-1 @ 2.1% 4-0 @ 1.73% 4-2 @ 1.27% Other @ 3.06% Total : 47.31%	1-1 @ 11.49% 0-0 @ 5.81% 2-2 @ 5.69% 3-3 @ 1.25% Other @ 0.17% Total : 24.41%	0-1 @ 7.03% 1-2 @ 6.96% 0-2 @ 4.25% 1-3 @ 2.81% 2-3 @ 2.29% 0-3 @ 1.72% Other @ 3.22% Total : 28.27%