SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stuttgart win with a probability of 43.23%. A win for Werder Bremen had a probability of 33.7% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stuttgart win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.74%) and 0-2 (5.85%). The likeliest Werder Bremen win was 2-1 (7.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.19%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-2 draw for this match.
| Result | ||
| Werder Bremen | Draw | Stuttgart |
33.7% ( 0.13) | 23.08% ( -0.02) | 43.23% ( -0.11) |
| Both teams to score 64.23% ( 0.1) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 63.03% ( 0.12) | 36.97% ( -0.12) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 40.84% ( 0.13) | 59.15% ( -0.13) |
| Werder Bremen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.96% ( 0.12) | 22.04% ( -0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.62% ( 0.19) | 55.38% ( -0.19) |
| Stuttgart Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.4% ( 0) | 17.6% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.82% | 48.18% |
| Score Analysis |
| Werder Bremen | Draw | Stuttgart |
| 2-1 @ 7.71% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 5.87% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 4.44% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 3.89% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 3.37% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 2.24% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.47% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.28% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.45% Total : 33.7% | 1-1 @ 10.19% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 6.69% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 3.88% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 1.95% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.36% Total : 23.08% | 1-2 @ 8.85% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 6.74% ( -0.04)0-2 @ 5.85% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 5.13% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 3.88% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 3.39% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 2.23% ( -0)2-4 @ 1.68% ( 0)0-4 @ 1.47% ( -0.01)Other @ 4.01% Total : 43.23% |
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