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Women's Super League | Gameweek 5
Oct 20, 2024 at 3pm UK
Chigwell Construction Stadium

West Ham
0 - 2
Arsenal


Asseyi (40')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Caldentey (71' pen.), Kafaji (89')
Caldentey (82')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Everton 1-1 West Ham
Sunday, October 13 at 2pm in Women's Super League
Last Game: Arsenal 4-1 Valerenga
Wednesday, October 16 at 8pm in Women's Champions League

We said: West Ham United Women 1-3 Arsenal Women

Arsenal may have experienced a tumultuous start to the season, but we still believe that they have enough quality to claim all three points from Sunday's away fixture, especially as West Ham will be low on confidence after failing to win any of their last 13 league games. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal Women win with a probability of 68.66%. A draw had a probability of 18% and a win for West Ham United Women had a probability of 13.34%.

The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal Women win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.7%) and 0-1 (9.15%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.39%), while for a West Ham United Women win it was 2-1 (3.85%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-2 win for Arsenal Women in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Arsenal Women.

Result
West Ham United WomenDrawArsenal Women
13.34% (0.227 0.23) 17.99% (0.068000000000001 0.07) 68.66% (-0.29599999999999 -0.3)
Both teams to score 54.08% (0.447 0.45)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.63% (0.244 0.24)37.36% (-0.243 -0.24)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.42% (0.262 0.26)59.58% (-0.262 -0.26)
West Ham United Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.02% (0.5 0.5)39.98% (-0.5 -0.5)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.37% (0.455 0.45)76.63% (-0.455 -0.45)
Arsenal Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.11% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)9.89% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
67.22% (-0.013000000000005 -0.01)32.78% (0.012999999999998 0.01)
Score Analysis
    West Ham United Women 13.35%
    Arsenal Women 68.66%
    Draw 17.99%
West Ham United WomenDrawArsenal Women
2-1 @ 3.85% (0.058 0.06)
1-0 @ 3.63% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
2-0 @ 1.66% (0.026 0.03)
3-2 @ 1.36% (0.038 0.04)
3-1 @ 1.18% (0.033 0.03)
Other @ 1.68%
Total : 13.35%
1-1 @ 8.39% (0.013 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.45% (0.066000000000001 0.07)
0-0 @ 3.96% (-0.047 -0.05)
3-3 @ 1.05% (0.029 0.03)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 17.99%
0-2 @ 10.58% (-0.13 -0.13)
1-2 @ 9.7% (0.013 0.01)
0-1 @ 9.15% (-0.11 -0.11)
0-3 @ 8.16% (-0.104 -0.1)
1-3 @ 7.48% (0.008 0.01)
0-4 @ 4.72% (-0.061 -0.06)
1-4 @ 4.33% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-3 @ 3.43% (0.05 0.05)
0-5 @ 2.18% (-0.029 -0.03)
1-5 @ 2% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-4 @ 1.98% (0.028 0.03)
2-5 @ 0.92% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 4.02%
Total : 68.66%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Everton 1-1 West Ham
Sunday, October 13 at 2pm in Women's Super League
Last Game: Man City 2-0 West Ham
Sunday, October 6 at 1pm in Women's Super League
Last Game: West Ham 1-1 Liverpool
Sunday, September 29 at 3pm in Women's Super League
Last Game: Man Utd 3-0 West Ham
Saturday, September 21 at 12pm in Women's Super League
Last Game: Spurs 3-1 West Ham
Saturday, May 18 at 3pm in Women's Super League
Last Game: West Ham 1-1 Leicester
Sunday, May 5 at 3pm in Women's Super League
Last Game: Arsenal 4-1 Valerenga
Wednesday, October 16 at 8pm in Women's Champions League
Last Game: Arsenal 1-2 Chelsea
Saturday, October 12 at 1.45pm in Women's Super League
Last Game: Bayern Munich 5-2 Arsenal
Wednesday, October 9 at 5.45pm in Women's Champions League
Last Game: Arsenal 0-0 Everton
Sunday, October 6 at 2pm in Women's Super League
Last Game: Leicester 0-1 Arsenal
Sunday, September 29 at 3pm in Women's Super League
Last Game: Arsenal 4-0 BK Hacken
Thursday, September 26 at 7.30pm in Women's Champions League


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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