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WU
Australian A-League | Gameweek 9
Apr 1, 2021 at 7.35am UK
GMHBA Stadium
MC

Western Utd
2 - 1
Melbourne City

Wales (61'), Berisha (66')
Guarrotxena (62')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Noone (12')
Griffiths (34'), Garuccio (58')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne City win with a probability of 49.07%. A win for Western United had a probability of 28.39% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne City win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.28%) and 0-2 (6.8%). The likeliest Western United win was 2-1 (6.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.02%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood.

Result
Western UnitedDrawMelbourne City
28.39%22.53%49.07%
Both teams to score 63.22%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.94%37.05%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.75%59.25%
Western United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.76%25.24%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.01%59.98%
Melbourne City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.56%15.44%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.72%44.28%
Score Analysis
    Western United 28.39%
    Melbourne City 49.07%
    Draw 22.53%
Western UnitedDrawMelbourne City
2-1 @ 6.9%
1-0 @ 5.36%
2-0 @ 3.69%
3-1 @ 3.17%
3-2 @ 2.96%
3-0 @ 1.7%
4-1 @ 1.09%
4-2 @ 1.02%
Other @ 2.51%
Total : 28.39%
1-1 @ 10.02%
2-2 @ 6.45%
0-0 @ 3.9%
3-3 @ 1.84%
Other @ 0.33%
Total : 22.53%
1-2 @ 9.36%
0-1 @ 7.28%
0-2 @ 6.8%
1-3 @ 5.83%
0-3 @ 4.24%
2-3 @ 4.01%
1-4 @ 2.72%
0-4 @ 1.98%
2-4 @ 1.88%
1-5 @ 1.02%
Other @ 3.95%
Total : 49.07%

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