SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Worthing win with a probability of 56.33%. A win for Eastbourne Borough had a probability of 22.43% and a draw had a probability of 21.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Worthing win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.97%) and 1-0 (7.8%). The likeliest Eastbourne Borough win was 1-2 (5.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.53%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Worthing would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Worthing | Draw | Eastbourne Borough |
56.33% ( -0.48) | 21.24% ( 0.19) | 22.43% ( 0.29) |
| Both teams to score 61.42% ( -0.28) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 63.38% ( -0.54) | 36.62% ( 0.55) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 41.22% ( -0.6) | 58.78% ( 0.6) |
| Worthing Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.04% ( -0.32) | 12.95% ( 0.32) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 60.57% ( -0.66) | 39.43% ( 0.66) |
| Eastbourne Borough Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.56% ( -0.06) | 29.44% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.55% ( -0.07) | 65.44% ( 0.08) |
| Score Analysis |
| Worthing | Draw | Eastbourne Borough |
| 2-1 @ 9.74% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 7.97% ( 0.02)1-0 @ 7.8% ( 0.12)3-1 @ 6.64% ( -0.07)3-0 @ 5.43% ( -0.05)3-2 @ 4.06% ( -0.05)4-1 @ 3.39% ( -0.08)4-0 @ 2.77% ( -0.06)4-2 @ 2.07% ( -0.05)5-1 @ 1.39% ( -0.05)5-0 @ 1.13% ( -0.04)Other @ 3.96% Total : 56.33% | 1-1 @ 9.53% ( 0.13) 2-2 @ 5.96% ( -0)0-0 @ 3.81% ( 0.1)3-3 @ 1.65% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.29% Total : 21.24% | 1-2 @ 5.83% ( 0.07) 0-1 @ 4.66% ( 0.12)0-2 @ 2.85% ( 0.07)2-3 @ 2.43% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 2.38% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 1.16% ( 0.02)Other @ 3.12% Total : 22.43% |
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