Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wrexham win with a probability of 59.37%. A draw had a probability of 21.2% and a win for Burton Albion had a probability of 19.38%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wrexham win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.41%) and 1-0 (9.38%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.91%), while for a Burton Albion win it was 1-2 (5.24%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood.
0.08) 
-0.05) 
