SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a York City win with a probability of 38.57%. A win for Yeovil Town had a probability of 35.09% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a York City win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.39%) and 2-0 (6.63%). The likeliest Yeovil Town win was 0-1 (9.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.52%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that York City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| York City | Draw | Yeovil Town |
38.57% ( -0.25) | 26.34% ( -0.04) | 35.09% ( 0.3) |
| Both teams to score 52.99% ( 0.19) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.3% ( 0.22) | 51.7% ( -0.22) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.52% ( 0.19) | 73.47% ( -0.19) |
| York City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.81% ( -0.04) | 26.18% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.73% ( -0.05) | 61.27% ( 0.05) |
| Yeovil Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.79% ( 0.29) | 28.21% ( -0.29) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.09% ( 0.36) | 63.9% ( -0.37) |
| Score Analysis |
| York City | Draw | Yeovil Town |
| 1-0 @ 9.9% ( -0.1) 2-1 @ 8.39% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 6.63% ( -0.07)3-1 @ 3.75% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 2.96% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 2.37% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.26% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 0.99% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.32% Total : 38.57% | 1-1 @ 12.52% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 7.39% ( -0.07)2-2 @ 5.31% ( 0.03)3-3 @ 1% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.33% | 0-1 @ 9.35% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 7.93% ( 0.05)0-2 @ 5.91% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 3.34% ( 0.05)0-3 @ 2.5% ( 0.04)2-3 @ 2.24% ( 0.03)1-4 @ 1.06% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.76% Total : 35.09% |
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