Luhansk
2 - 1
Desna

Hladkyy (18', 62')
Ivanisenya (81')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Totovytsky (21')
Imerekov (51'), Ogirya (64'), Konoplia (77'), Kalitvintsev (90+2'), Budkivskyi (90+3')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Match Stats

Player Stats

Coverage of the Ukrainian Premier League clash between Zorya Luhansk and Desna Chernihiv.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zorya Luhansk win with a probability of 45.1%. A win for Desna Chernihiv had a probability of 29.53% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Zorya Luhansk win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.16%) and 2-0 (7.75%). The likeliest Desna Chernihiv win was 0-1 (7.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.04%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Zorya Luhansk would win this match.

Result
Zorya Luhansk	Draw	Desna Chernihiv
45.1%	25.36%	29.53%

Both teams to score 54.21%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.75%

49.25%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.69%

71.31%

Zorya Luhansk Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.18%

21.83%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.95%

55.05%

Desna Chernihiv Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.35%

30.65%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.1%

66.9%

Score Analysis

Zorya Luhansk 45.1%

Desna Chernihiv 29.53%

Draw 25.36%

Zorya Luhansk	Draw	Desna Chernihiv
1-0 @ 10.18% 2-1 @ 9.16% 2-0 @ 7.75% 3-1 @ 4.65% 3-0 @ 3.93% 3-2 @ 2.75% 4-1 @ 1.77% 4-0 @ 1.5% 4-2 @ 1.05% Other @ 2.37% Total : 45.1%	1-1 @ 12.04% 0-0 @ 6.69% 2-2 @ 5.42% 3-3 @ 1.08% Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.36%	0-1 @ 7.91% 1-2 @ 7.12% 0-2 @ 4.68% 1-3 @ 2.81% 2-3 @ 2.14% 0-3 @ 1.84% Other @ 3.04% Total : 29.53%