SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Club America win with a probability of 55.01%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for CD Guadalajara had a probability of 22.29%.
The most likely scoreline for a Club America win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.73%) and 2-0 (9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.65%), while for a CD Guadalajara win it was 1-2 (5.84%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Club America would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Club America | Draw | CD Guadalajara |
55.01% ( 1.15) | 22.7% ( -0.36) | 22.29% ( -0.79) |
| Both teams to score 56.08% ( 0.16) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.43% ( 0.7) | 43.57% ( -0.69) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.04% ( 0.68) | 65.96% ( -0.68) |
| Club America Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.27% ( 0.64) | 15.73% ( -0.64) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.17% ( 1.18) | 44.82% ( -1.18) |
| CD Guadalajara Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.55% ( -0.32) | 33.45% ( 0.32) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.92% ( -0.35) | 70.08% ( 0.36) |
| Score Analysis |
| Club America | Draw | CD Guadalajara |
| 2-1 @ 9.86% ( 0.04) 1-0 @ 9.73% ( -0.08)2-0 @ 9% ( 0.12)3-1 @ 6.08% ( 0.16)3-0 @ 5.55% ( 0.19)3-2 @ 3.33% ( 0.06)4-1 @ 2.81% ( 0.13)4-0 @ 2.57% ( 0.14)4-2 @ 1.54% ( 0.06)5-1 @ 1.04% ( 0.07)5-0 @ 0.95% ( 0.07)Other @ 2.57% Total : 55.01% | 1-1 @ 10.65% ( -0.19) 2-2 @ 5.4% ( -0.02)0-0 @ 5.26% ( -0.16)3-3 @ 1.22% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.17% Total : 22.69% | 1-2 @ 5.84% ( -0.15) 0-1 @ 5.76% ( -0.23)0-2 @ 3.16% ( -0.16)1-3 @ 2.13% ( -0.08)2-3 @ 1.97% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 1.15% ( -0.07)Other @ 2.28% Total : 22.29% |
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