Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Puebla win with a probability of 36.7%. A win for Tigres had a probability of 36.36% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Puebla win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.05%) and 2-0 (6.44%). The likeliest Tigres win was 0-1 (10.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.8%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Puebla would win this match.
0.68) 
-0.96) 
