Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tigres win with a probability of 44.86%. A win for Atlas had a probability of 27.62% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tigres win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.74%) and 2-1 (8.68%). The likeliest Atlas win was 0-1 (9.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.88%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Tigres would win this match.