Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tigres win with a probability of 37.77%. A win for Cruz Azul had a probability of 34.58% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Tigres win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.05%) and 2-0 (6.9%). The likeliest Cruz Azul win was 0-1 (10.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.05%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Tigres would win this match.

Result
Tigres	Draw	Cruz Azul
37.77% ( -1.47)	27.65% ( 0.3)	34.58% ( 1.17)

Both teams to score 48.78% (

-0.71)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

43.01% (

-0.98)

57% (

0.98)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.11% (

-0.79)

77.89% (

0.79)

Tigres Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.84% (

-1.32)

29.16% (

1.32)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.91% (

-1.66)

65.1% (

1.66)

Cruz Azul Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.86% (

0.28)

31.14% (

-0.27)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.53% (

0.32)

67.47% (

-0.32)

Score Analysis

Tigres 37.77%

Cruz Azul 34.58%

Draw 27.64%

Tigres	Draw	Cruz Azul
1-0 @ 11.19% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 8.05% ( -0.23) 2-0 @ 6.9% ( -0.26) 3-1 @ 3.31% ( -0.23) 3-0 @ 2.83% ( -0.22) 3-2 @ 1.93% ( -0.12) 4-1 @ 1.02% ( -0.11) Other @ 2.55% Total : 37.77%	1-1 @ 13.05% ( 0.11) 0-0 @ 9.08% ( 0.34) 2-2 @ 4.69% ( -0.1) Other @ 0.82% Total : 27.64%	0-1 @ 10.59% ( 0.47) 1-2 @ 7.62% ( 0.12) 0-2 @ 6.18% ( 0.32) 1-3 @ 2.96% ( 0.07) 0-3 @ 2.4% ( 0.14) 2-3 @ 1.83% ( -0.03) Other @ 3% Total : 34.58%