SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toluca win with a probability of 41.53%. A win for CD Guadalajara had a probability of 34.2% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Toluca win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.95%) and 2-0 (6.27%). The likeliest CD Guadalajara win was 1-2 (7.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.21%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Toluca | Draw | CD Guadalajara |
41.53% ( 0.44) | 24.26% ( -0.16) | 34.2% ( -0.27) |
| Both teams to score 59.98% ( 0.5) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.41% ( 0.68) | 42.59% ( -0.68) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35% ( 0.68) | 64.99% ( -0.68) |
| Toluca Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.34% ( 0.49) | 20.65% ( -0.49) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.76% ( 0.77) | 53.23% ( -0.77) |
| CD Guadalajara Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.6% ( 0.16) | 24.4% ( -0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.18% ( 0.23) | 58.81% ( -0.23) |
| Score Analysis |
| Toluca | Draw | CD Guadalajara |
| 2-1 @ 8.84% ( 0.04) 1-0 @ 7.95% ( -0.12)2-0 @ 6.27% ( -0)3-1 @ 4.65% ( 0.09)3-0 @ 3.3% ( 0.05)3-2 @ 3.28% ( 0.08)4-1 @ 1.83% ( 0.06)4-0 @ 1.3% ( 0.04)4-2 @ 1.29% ( 0.05)Other @ 2.83% Total : 41.53% | 1-1 @ 11.21% ( -0.12) 2-2 @ 6.24% ( 0.06)0-0 @ 5.04% ( -0.16)3-3 @ 1.54% ( 0.04)Other @ 0.23% Total : 24.26% | 1-2 @ 7.91% ( -0.04) 0-1 @ 7.11% ( -0.18)0-2 @ 5.01% ( -0.11)1-3 @ 3.72% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.93% ( 0.04)0-3 @ 2.36% ( -0.04)1-4 @ 1.31% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 1.03% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.81% Total : 34.2% |
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