After two positive results and being back on home soil, Monaco are strong favourites for this encounter and they should find no problems in getting past Troyes. The visitors have been on a good run of form, but many of those games came against teams around them in the table, so coming up against a side fighting for a European spot will be a more difficult test. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monaco win with a probability of 69.75%. A draw had a probability of 18.9% and a win for Troyes had a probability of 11.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Monaco win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.49%) and 2-1 (9.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.94%), while for a Troyes win it was 0-1 (4.23%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Monaco would win this match.

Result
Monaco	Draw	Troyes
69.75%	18.85%	11.4%

Both teams to score 44.93%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.72%

46.28%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.42%

68.58%

Monaco Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.91%

12.09%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

62.36%

37.64%

Troyes Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

51.11%

48.89%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

16.12%

83.88%

Score Analysis

Monaco 69.74%

Troyes 11.4%

Draw 18.85%

Monaco	Draw	Troyes
2-0 @ 13.19% 1-0 @ 12.49% 2-1 @ 9.44% 3-0 @ 9.29% 3-1 @ 6.65% 4-0 @ 4.91% 4-1 @ 3.51% 3-2 @ 2.38% 5-0 @ 2.07% 5-1 @ 1.48% 4-2 @ 1.26% Other @ 3.07% Total : 69.74%	1-1 @ 8.94% 0-0 @ 5.91% 2-2 @ 3.38% Other @ 0.62% Total : 18.85%	0-1 @ 4.23% 1-2 @ 3.2% 0-2 @ 1.51% Other @ 2.46% Total : 11.4%