Lille's starting lineup should have more of a familiar feel about it this weekend, with two well-rested strikers in David and Yilmaz desperately needing to find their shooting boots sooner rather than later. Strasbourg have certainly been the draw specialists away from home in recent weeks, and while one point will not do them many favours in their podium push, an altered Lille side should manage to avoid a third straight loss with a hard-fought stalemate. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lille win with a probability of 42.88%. A win for Strasbourg had a probability of 29.21% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lille win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.46%) and 2-0 (8.3%). The likeliest Strasbourg win was 0-1 (10.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.04%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Lille in this match.

Result
Lille	Draw	Strasbourg
42.88%	27.9%	29.21%

Both teams to score 46.42%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

40.8%

59.19%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

20.38%

79.62%

Lille Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.66%

27.33%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.21%

62.79%

Strasbourg Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.88%

36.11%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.1%

72.89%

Score Analysis

Lille 42.88%

Strasbourg 29.21%

Draw 27.91%

Lille	Draw	Strasbourg
1-0 @ 12.8% 2-1 @ 8.46% 2-0 @ 8.3% 3-1 @ 3.66% 3-0 @ 3.59% 3-2 @ 1.86% 4-1 @ 1.19% 4-0 @ 1.16% Other @ 1.86% Total : 42.88%	1-1 @ 13.04% 0-0 @ 9.87% 2-2 @ 4.31% Other @ 0.69% Total : 27.91%	0-1 @ 10.05% 1-2 @ 6.64% 0-2 @ 5.12% 1-3 @ 2.25% 0-3 @ 1.74% 2-3 @ 1.46% Other @ 1.94% Total : 29.21%