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Ligue 1 | Gameweek 20
Jan 27, 2021 at 8pm UK
Stade du Moustoir
D

Lorient
3 - 2
Dijon

Chalobah (30'), Moffi (58'), Racioppi (90+5' og.)
Etienne (65'), Chalobah (90+2')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Ecuele Manga (40'), Balde (42')
Balde (10'), Konate (26'), N'Dong (73')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lorient win with a probability of 40.31%. A win for Dijon had a probability of 31% and a draw had a probability of 28.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lorient win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.03%) and 2-0 (7.84%). The likeliest Dijon win was 0-1 (10.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.26%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lorient would win this match.

Result
LorientDrawDijon
40.31%28.7%31%
Both teams to score 44.98%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
38.65%61.35%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.75%81.25%
Lorient Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.2%29.8%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.12%65.88%
Dijon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.08%35.92%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.31%72.69%
Score Analysis
    Lorient 40.3%
    Dijon 31%
    Draw 28.68%
LorientDrawDijon
1-0 @ 12.95%
2-1 @ 8.03%
2-0 @ 7.84%
3-1 @ 3.24%
3-0 @ 3.17%
3-2 @ 1.66%
4-1 @ 0.98%
4-0 @ 0.96%
Other @ 1.47%
Total : 40.3%
1-1 @ 13.26%
0-0 @ 10.7%
2-2 @ 4.11%
Other @ 0.61%
Total : 28.68%
0-1 @ 10.96%
1-2 @ 6.79%
0-2 @ 5.61%
1-3 @ 2.32%
0-3 @ 1.92%
2-3 @ 1.4%
Other @ 1.99%
Total : 31%

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