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Ligue 1 | Gameweek 26
Feb 21, 2021 at 4.05pm UK
Stade du Moustoir
L

Lorient
1 - 4
Lille

Hergault (23')
Lemoine (61'), Monconduit (70')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Gravillon (21' og.), Fonte (38'), Ikone (59'), Bradaric (90+1')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lille win with a probability of 52.18%. A draw had a probability of 26.9% and a win for Lorient had a probability of 20.92%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lille win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11%) and 1-2 (8.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.26%), while for a Lorient win it was 1-0 (8.51%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lille would win this match.

Result
LorientDrawLille
20.92%26.91%52.18%
Both teams to score 42.15%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
38.93%61.08%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.95%81.05%
Lorient Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
55.21%44.79%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.24%80.77%
Lille Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.34%23.66%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.24%57.76%
Score Analysis
    Lorient 20.92%
    Lille 52.17%
    Draw 26.89%
LorientDrawLille
1-0 @ 8.51%
2-1 @ 4.93%
2-0 @ 3.42%
3-1 @ 1.32%
3-2 @ 0.95%
3-0 @ 0.92%
Other @ 0.87%
Total : 20.92%
1-1 @ 12.26%
0-0 @ 10.59%
2-2 @ 3.55%
Other @ 0.49%
Total : 26.89%
0-1 @ 15.27%
0-2 @ 11%
1-2 @ 8.84%
0-3 @ 5.29%
1-3 @ 4.25%
0-4 @ 1.91%
2-3 @ 1.71%
1-4 @ 1.53%
Other @ 2.37%
Total : 52.17%

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