Despite their recent form against Lorient, Montpellier have hardly been convincing this season, and Les Merlus will face a side who have been shaky along the backline throughout most of the domestic campaign.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lorient win with a probability of 48.81%. A draw had a probability of 25.7% and a win for Montpellier HSC had a probability of 25.45%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lorient win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.3%) and 2-0 (9.1%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.22%), while for a Montpellier HSC win it was 0-1 (8.04%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood.
-0.49) 
0.14) 
