Lorient have won just one of their previous four home fixtures versus Rennes, and although not having Terrier hurts, we still think the experience and depth of the visitors will outclass Les Merlus, who depend heavily on Moffi to find the back of the net.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rennes win with a probability of 52.79%. A draw had a probability of 23.7% and a win for Lorient had a probability of 23.49%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rennes win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.74%) and 0-2 (9.05%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.23%), while for a Lorient win it was 1-0 (6.48%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6% likelihood.
-0.02) 
0.03) 
