With both Lyon and Nice being forced to cope without one of their key centre-backs on Friday evening, both sets of attackers may be licking their lips, especially with the visitors not as tough a nut to crack as they once were and flattering to deceive on their travels.
Les Aiglons are in the podium positions for a reason, though, and while Lyon's revival means that the momentum may be with Sage's men, they will likely be forced to settle for a share of the points this time around.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nice win with a probability of 42.4%. A win for Lyon had a probability of 32.28% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nice win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.93%) and 0-2 (7.04%). The likeliest Lyon win was 1-0 (8.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.98%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8% likelihood.
0.03) 
-0.04) 
