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Ligue 1 | Gameweek 3
Aug 22, 2021 at 2pm UK
Stade de la Mosson
LL

Montpellier
3 - 1
Lorient

Savanier (50'), Mavididi (58'), Delort (83')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Bertaud (21' og.)
Lemoine (49'), Monconduit (67'), Mendes (84'), Hergault (87')
Mendes (86'), Hergault (90+1')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montpellier HSC win with a probability of 42.39%. A win for Lorient had a probability of 30.43% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Montpellier HSC win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.62%) and 2-0 (7.89%). The likeliest Lorient win was 0-1 (9.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.85%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Montpellier HSC would win this match.

Result
Montpellier HSCDrawLorient
42.39%27.17%30.43%
Both teams to score 49.07%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.9%56.1%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.83%77.17%
Montpellier HSC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.84%26.16%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.76%61.23%
Lorient Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.45%33.54%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.82%70.18%
Score Analysis
    Montpellier HSC 42.38%
    Lorient 30.43%
    Draw 27.17%
Montpellier HSCDrawLorient
1-0 @ 11.76%
2-1 @ 8.62%
2-0 @ 7.89%
3-1 @ 3.85%
3-0 @ 3.53%
3-2 @ 2.1%
4-1 @ 1.29%
4-0 @ 1.18%
Other @ 2.16%
Total : 42.38%
1-1 @ 12.85%
0-0 @ 8.77%
2-2 @ 4.71%
Other @ 0.84%
Total : 27.17%
0-1 @ 9.58%
1-2 @ 7.02%
0-2 @ 5.24%
1-3 @ 2.56%
0-3 @ 1.91%
2-3 @ 1.71%
Other @ 2.42%
Total : 30.43%

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