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N
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 11
Oct 24, 2021 at 12pm UK
Stade Municipal du Ray
L

Nice
3 - 2
Lyon

Atal (81'), Delort (89' pen.), Guessand (90+1')
Guessand (90+2')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Toko Ekambi (35'), Aouar (68')
Kadewere (85')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lyon win with a probability of 44.42%. A win for Nice had a probability of 30.08% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lyon win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.09%) and 0-2 (7.65%). The likeliest Nice win was 1-0 (8.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.11%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood.

Result
NiceDrawLyon
30.08%25.51%44.42%
Both teams to score 54.06%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.41%49.59%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.39%71.62%
Nice Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.56%30.44%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.35%66.65%
Lyon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.72%22.29%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.26%55.74%
Score Analysis
    Nice 30.08%
    Lyon 44.41%
    Draw 25.5%
NiceDrawLyon
1-0 @ 8.07%
2-1 @ 7.2%
2-0 @ 4.8%
3-1 @ 2.86%
3-2 @ 2.14%
3-0 @ 1.9%
Other @ 3.11%
Total : 30.08%
1-1 @ 12.11%
0-0 @ 6.78%
2-2 @ 5.41%
3-3 @ 1.07%
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.5%
0-1 @ 10.18%
1-2 @ 9.09%
0-2 @ 7.65%
1-3 @ 4.55%
0-3 @ 3.83%
2-3 @ 2.71%
1-4 @ 1.71%
0-4 @ 1.44%
2-4 @ 1.02%
Other @ 2.25%
Total : 44.41%

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