PSG
2 - 0
Montpellier

Gueye (14'), Draxler (88')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Makouana (90+1')

Build‑up

The Match

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 73.98%. A draw had a probability of 16% and a win for Montpellier HSC had a probability of 9.99%.

The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.67%) and 3-0 (9.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.58%), while for a Montpellier HSC win it was 0-1 (3.1%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Paris Saint-Germain in this match.

Result
Paris Saint-Germain	Draw	Montpellier HSC
73.98%	16.04%	9.99%

Both teams to score 49.64%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

62.67%

37.33%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

40.45%

59.55%

Paris Saint-Germain Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

91.35%

8.65%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

70.18%

29.82%

Montpellier HSC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

54.33%

45.66%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

18.54%

81.46%

Score Analysis

Paris Saint-Germain 73.97%

Montpellier HSC 9.99%

Draw 16.04%

Paris Saint-Germain	Draw	Montpellier HSC
2-0 @ 11.83% 1-0 @ 9.67% 3-0 @ 9.66% 2-1 @ 9.28% 3-1 @ 7.57% 4-0 @ 5.91% 4-1 @ 4.63% 3-2 @ 2.97% 5-0 @ 2.89% 5-1 @ 2.27% 4-2 @ 1.82% 6-0 @ 1.18% 6-1 @ 0.93% Other @ 3.38% Total : 73.97%	1-1 @ 7.58% 0-0 @ 3.95% 2-2 @ 3.64% Other @ 0.88% Total : 16.04%	0-1 @ 3.1% 1-2 @ 2.97% 0-2 @ 1.21% 2-3 @ 0.95% Other @ 1.76% Total : 9.99%