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Thursday, March 28
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Ligue 1 | Gameweek 24
Feb 7, 2021 at 2pm UK
Stade Geoffroy-Guichard
ML

St Etienne
1 - 0
Metz

Boye (14' og.)
Hamouma (37'), Kolodziejczak (73')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Maiga (25'), Centonze (73')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Metz win with a probability of 37.86%. A win for Saint-Etienne had a probability of 33.91% and a draw had a probability of 28.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Metz win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.91%) and 0-2 (7.08%). The likeliest Saint-Etienne win was 1-0 (11.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.21%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11% likelihood.

Result
Saint-EtienneDrawMetz
33.91%28.23%37.86%
Both teams to score 46.97%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.8%59.2%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.37%79.63%
Saint-Etienne Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.29%32.71%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.74%69.26%
Metz Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.81%30.19%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.65%66.35%
Score Analysis
    Saint-Etienne 33.91%
    Metz 37.85%
    Draw 28.22%
Saint-EtienneDrawMetz
1-0 @ 11.03%
2-1 @ 7.39%
2-0 @ 6.17%
3-1 @ 2.75%
3-0 @ 2.3%
3-2 @ 1.65%
Other @ 2.63%
Total : 33.91%
1-1 @ 13.21%
0-0 @ 9.88%
2-2 @ 4.42%
Other @ 0.72%
Total : 28.22%
0-1 @ 11.82%
1-2 @ 7.91%
0-2 @ 7.08%
1-3 @ 3.16%
0-3 @ 2.83%
2-3 @ 1.77%
1-4 @ 0.95%
Other @ 2.34%
Total : 37.85%

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