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Ligue 1 | Gameweek 15
Nov 28, 2021 at 12pm UK
Stade Geoffroy-Guichard
PL

St Etienne
1 - 3
PSG

Bouanga (23')
Sissoko (18'), Boudebouz (32'), Camara (35')
Kolodziejczak (45')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Marquinhos (45+1', 90+1'), di Maria (79')
Bernat (33')

We said: Saint-Etienne 1-3 Paris Saint-Germain

With so many midfielders absent through injury, the onus will be on PSG's famed attackers to deliver the goods this weekend, with a depleted Saint-Etienne defence in for a rough ride. Rotation may very well be on the cards for the visitors, but the runaway leaders should still have no problem halting Saint-Etienne's momentum with all three points here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 60.29%. A draw had a probability of 20.6% and a win for Saint-Etienne had a probability of 19.15%.

The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9%) and 0-1 (8.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.43%), while for a Saint-Etienne win it was 2-1 (5.18%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-3 win for Paris Saint-Germain in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Paris Saint-Germain.

Result
Saint-EtienneDrawParis Saint-Germain
19.15%20.56%60.29%
Both teams to score 58.5%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.95%38.05%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.69%60.31%
Saint-Etienne Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.69%33.31%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.07%69.93%
Paris Saint-Germain Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.73%12.27%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
61.99%38.01%
Score Analysis
    Saint-Etienne 19.15%
    Paris Saint-Germain 60.29%
    Draw 20.56%
Saint-EtienneDrawParis Saint-Germain
2-1 @ 5.18%
1-0 @ 4.49%
2-0 @ 2.47%
3-2 @ 1.99%
3-1 @ 1.9%
3-0 @ 0.91%
Other @ 2.21%
Total : 19.15%
1-1 @ 9.43%
2-2 @ 5.44%
0-0 @ 4.09%
3-3 @ 1.39%
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 20.56%
1-2 @ 9.89%
0-2 @ 9%
0-1 @ 8.58%
1-3 @ 6.92%
0-3 @ 6.29%
2-3 @ 3.8%
1-4 @ 3.63%
0-4 @ 3.3%
2-4 @ 1.99%
1-5 @ 1.52%
0-5 @ 1.39%
Other @ 3.99%
Total : 60.29%

Read more!
Read more!


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