SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monaco win with a probability of 39.32%. A win for Toulouse had a probability of 36.11% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Monaco win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.96%) and 0-2 (6%). The likeliest Toulouse win was 2-1 (8.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.41%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Monaco in this match.
| Result | ||
| Toulouse | Draw | Monaco |
36.11% ( 0.04) | 24.56% ( -0) | 39.32% ( -0.04) |
| Both teams to score 59.27% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.32% ( 0.01) | 43.67% ( -0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.93% ( 0.01) | 66.06% ( -0.01) |
| Toulouse Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.16% ( 0.02) | 23.84% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.98% ( 0.03) | 58.02% ( -0.04) |
| Monaco Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.82% ( -0.02) | 22.17% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.42% ( -0.02) | 55.57% ( 0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Toulouse | Draw | Monaco |
| 2-1 @ 8.19% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 7.58% ( 0)2-0 @ 5.43% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 3.91% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.95% ( 0)3-0 @ 2.6% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.4% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.06% ( 0)4-0 @ 0.93% ( 0)Other @ 2.07% Total : 36.11% | 1-1 @ 11.41% 2-2 @ 6.16% ( 0)0-0 @ 5.29% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.48% Other @ 0.22% Total : 24.56% | 1-2 @ 8.6% ( -0) 0-1 @ 7.96% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 6% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 4.32% ( -0)2-3 @ 3.1% ( -0)0-3 @ 3.01% ( -0)1-4 @ 1.63% ( -0)2-4 @ 1.17% ( -0)0-4 @ 1.13% ( -0)Other @ 2.42% Total : 39.32% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
