Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dijon win with a probability of 44.26%. A draw had a probability of 29.4% and a win for Ajaccio had a probability of 26.38%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dijon win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.19%) and 2-1 (8.03%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.12%), while for an Ajaccio win it was 0-1 (10.72%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood.