Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pau win with a probability of 37.42%. A win for Guingamp had a probability of 36.38% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Pau win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.27%) and 2-0 (6.33%). The likeliest Guingamp win was 0-1 (9.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.45%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood.

Result
Pau	Draw	Guingamp
37.42% ( 1.06)	26.19% ( 0.03)	36.38% ( -1.09)

Both teams to score 53.58% (

-0.1)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49% (

-0.13)

51.01% (

0.13)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.13% (

-0.11)

72.87% (

0.12)

Pau Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.5% (

0.55)

26.5% (

-0.55)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.3% (

0.73)

61.7% (

-0.72)

Guingamp Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.9% (

-0.69)

27.1% (

0.69)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.52% (

-0.91)

62.48% (

0.91)

Score Analysis

Pau 37.42%

Guingamp 36.38%

Draw 26.19%

Pau	Draw	Guingamp
1-0 @ 9.54% ( 0.2) 2-1 @ 8.27% ( 0.14) 2-0 @ 6.33% ( 0.23) 3-1 @ 3.66% ( 0.12) 3-0 @ 2.8% ( 0.14) 3-2 @ 2.39% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 1.22% ( 0.06) 4-0 @ 0.93% ( 0.06) Other @ 2.29% Total : 37.42%	1-1 @ 12.45% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 7.18% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 5.4% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.04% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.19%	0-1 @ 9.38% ( -0.13) 1-2 @ 8.13% ( -0.15) 0-2 @ 6.12% ( -0.21) 1-3 @ 3.54% ( -0.14) 0-3 @ 2.66% ( -0.15) 2-3 @ 2.35% ( -0.05) 1-4 @ 1.16% ( -0.07) Other @ 3.05% Total : 36.38%