Lithuania U21s
0 - 1
Scotland U21s

Utkus (54'), Megelaitis (64'), Malzinskas (65')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Campbell (81')
Patterson (17'), Middleton (36'), McCrorie (48'), Porteous (64')

Data Analysis

Malky Mackay "delighted" with win for Scotland Under-21s

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Scotland Under-21s win with a probability of 46%. A win for Lithuania Under-21s had a probability of 28.39% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Scotland Under-21s win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.19%) and 0-2 (8.14%). The likeliest Lithuania Under-21s win was 1-0 (8.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.17%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Scotland Under-21s in this match.

Result
Lithuania Under-21s	Draw	Scotland Under-21s
28.39%	25.6%	46%

Both teams to score 52.73%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.14%

50.85%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.26%

72.74%

Lithuania Under-21s Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.68%

32.32%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.17%

68.83%

Scotland Under-21s Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.91%

22.09%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.56%

55.44%

Score Analysis

Lithuania Under-21s 28.39%

Scotland Under-21s 46%

Draw 25.6%

Lithuania Under-21s	Draw	Scotland Under-21s
1-0 @ 8.06% 2-1 @ 6.88% 2-0 @ 4.55% 3-1 @ 2.59% 3-2 @ 1.96% 3-0 @ 1.71% Other @ 2.64% Total : 28.39%	1-1 @ 12.17% 0-0 @ 7.14% 2-2 @ 5.19% 3-3 @ 0.98% Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.6%	0-1 @ 10.78% 1-2 @ 9.19% 0-2 @ 8.14% 1-3 @ 4.63% 0-3 @ 4.1% 2-3 @ 2.61% 1-4 @ 1.75% 0-4 @ 1.55% 2-4 @ 0.99% Other @ 2.27% Total : 46%