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Major League Soccer
Jul 14, 2022 at 12.30am UK
Mercedes-Benz Stadium
RS
Atlanta
2 - 1
Salt Lake
Cisneros (7', 33')
Moreno (90+3')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Kappelhof (37')
Holt (44'), Besler (56')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Salt Lake 2-2 Colorado
Sunday, July 10 at 3am in Major League Soccer

We said: Atlanta United 2-3 Real Salt Lake

Considering both Atlanta and Real Salt Lake have looked leaky at the back, goals are to be expected at the Mercedes-Benz Stadium. Both teams will fancy their chances of claiming maximum points, but we feel that the visitors will edge an entertaining contest on Thursday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atlanta United win with a probability of 61.41%. A draw had a probability of 20.4% and a win for Real Salt Lake had a probability of 18.2%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atlanta United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.38%) and 1-0 (8.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.42%), while for a Real Salt Lake win it was 1-2 (4.98%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Atlanta United in this match.

Result
Atlanta UnitedDrawReal Salt Lake
61.41% (-2.548 -2.55) 20.38% (0.627 0.63) 18.2% (1.916 1.92)
Both teams to score 57.32% (1.894 1.89)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.24% (0.546 0.55)38.76% (-0.549 -0.55)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.93% (0.572 0.57)61.07% (-0.575 -0.58)
Atlanta United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.82% (-0.53400000000001 -0.53)12.17% (0.53 0.53)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
62.19% (-1.134 -1.13)37.81% (1.13 1.13)
Real Salt Lake Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.26% (2.535 2.54)34.73% (-2.539 -2.54)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.53% (2.59 2.59)71.46% (-2.596 -2.6)
Score Analysis
    Atlanta United 61.41%
    Real Salt Lake 18.2%
    Draw 20.38%
Atlanta UnitedDrawReal Salt Lake
2-1 @ 9.92% (0.011999999999999 0.01)
2-0 @ 9.38% (-0.654 -0.65)
1-0 @ 8.9% (-0.427 -0.43)
3-1 @ 6.96% (-0.139 -0.14)
3-0 @ 6.58% (-0.611 -0.61)
3-2 @ 3.68% (0.177 0.18)
4-1 @ 3.66% (-0.153 -0.15)
4-0 @ 3.47% (-0.403 -0.4)
4-2 @ 1.94% (0.053 0.05)
5-1 @ 1.54% (-0.099 -0.1)
5-0 @ 1.46% (-0.204 -0.2)
Other @ 3.93%
Total : 61.41%
1-1 @ 9.42% (0.207 0.21)
2-2 @ 5.24% (0.355 0.36)
0-0 @ 4.23% (-0.111 -0.11)
3-3 @ 1.3% (0.145 0.15)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 20.38%
1-2 @ 4.98% (0.434 0.43)
0-1 @ 4.47% (0.189 0.19)
0-2 @ 2.36% (0.251 0.25)
2-3 @ 1.85% (0.24 0.24)
1-3 @ 1.76% (0.26 0.26)
Other @ 2.78%
Total : 18.2%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Atlanta 0-3 Austin
Sunday, July 10 at 12am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: NY City 2-2 Atlanta
Sunday, July 3 at 10pm in Major League Soccer
Last Game: NY Red Bulls 2-1 Atlanta
Friday, July 1 at 1am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Toronto 2-1 Atlanta
Sunday, June 26 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Atlanta 2-0 Inter Miami
Sunday, June 19 at 8pm in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Atlanta 1-2 Columbus Crew
Sunday, May 29 at 12am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Salt Lake 2-2 Colorado
Sunday, July 10 at 3am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Minnesota Utd 3-2 Salt Lake
Monday, July 4 at 1am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Salt Lake 0-0 Columbus Crew
Sunday, June 26 at 3am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Salt Lake 2-0 Earthquakes
Sunday, June 19 at 2.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Vancouver 2-1 Salt Lake
Sunday, June 5 at 12am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Salt Lake 3-0 Houston
Sunday, May 29 at 2.30am in Major League Soccer

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