There is still hope for both of these teams to sneak into a postseason position, but neither look all that strong defensively or comfortable when under pressure, with Charlotte conceding 10 goals in their last four games, while the Reds have allowed the third-most goals in the league (47).
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Charlotte FC win with a probability of 47.38%. A win for Toronto had a probability of 28.31% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Charlotte FC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.38%) and 2-0 (7.72%). The likeliest Toronto win was 1-2 (6.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.43%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood.
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