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Major League Soccer | Gameweek 13
Sep 28, 2020 at 12.30am UK
Soldier Field
AU

Chicago Fire
2 - 0
Atlanta

Herbers (7'), Beric (39')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Mo (85')
Coverage of the Major League Soccer clash between Chicago Fire and Atlanta United.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chicago Fire win with a probability of 45.56%. A win for Atlanta United had a probability of 29.89% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chicago Fire win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.2%) and 2-0 (7.38%). The likeliest Atlanta United win was 1-2 (7.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.53%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chicago Fire would win this match.

Result
Chicago FireDrawAtlanta United
45.56%24.55%29.89%
Both teams to score 57.11%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.45%45.55%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.12%67.88%
Chicago Fire Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.9%20.09%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.66%52.34%
Atlanta United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.47%28.53%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.69%64.31%
Score Analysis
    Chicago Fire 45.56%
    Atlanta United 29.89%
    Draw 24.54%
Chicago FireDrawAtlanta United
2-1 @ 9.26%
1-0 @ 9.2%
2-0 @ 7.38%
3-1 @ 4.95%
3-0 @ 3.95%
3-2 @ 3.11%
4-1 @ 1.99%
4-0 @ 1.58%
4-2 @ 1.25%
Other @ 2.9%
Total : 45.56%
1-1 @ 11.53%
2-2 @ 5.81%
0-0 @ 5.73%
3-3 @ 1.3%
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 24.54%
1-2 @ 7.24%
0-1 @ 7.19%
0-2 @ 4.51%
1-3 @ 3.03%
2-3 @ 2.43%
0-3 @ 1.89%
1-4 @ 0.95%
Other @ 2.67%
Total : 29.89%


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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