SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chicago Fire win with a probability of 50.99%. A win for Atlanta United had a probability of 25.1% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chicago Fire win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.65%) and 2-0 (8.56%). The likeliest Atlanta United win was 0-1 (6.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.29%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chicago Fire would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Chicago Fire | Draw | Atlanta United |
50.99% ( 8.2) | 23.92% ( -1.47) | 25.1% ( -6.72) |
| Both teams to score 55.37% ( 0.09) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.92% ( 2.3) | 46.08% ( -2.3) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.62% ( 2.14) | 68.38% ( -2.13) |
| Chicago Fire Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.9% ( 4.43) | 18.1% ( -4.43) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.96% ( 7.07) | 49.04% ( -7.07) |
| Atlanta United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.61% ( -3.74) | 32.39% ( 3.75) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.1% ( -4.45) | 68.9% ( 4.45) |
| Score Analysis |
| Chicago Fire | Draw | Atlanta United |
| 1-0 @ 10.02% ( 0.4) 2-1 @ 9.65% ( 0.69)2-0 @ 8.56% ( 1.4)3-1 @ 5.5% ( 1.05)3-0 @ 4.88% ( 1.32)3-2 @ 3.1% ( 0.32)4-1 @ 2.35% ( 0.69)4-0 @ 2.09% ( 0.76)4-2 @ 1.33% ( 0.29)Other @ 3.51% Total : 50.99% | 1-1 @ 11.29% ( -0.73) 0-0 @ 5.86% ( -0.59)2-2 @ 5.44% ( -0.16)3-3 @ 1.17% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.15% Total : 23.91% | 0-1 @ 6.61% ( -1.46) 1-2 @ 6.37% ( -1.15)0-2 @ 3.73% ( -1.32)1-3 @ 2.39% ( -0.74)2-3 @ 2.05% ( -0.29)0-3 @ 1.4% ( -0.7)Other @ 2.56% Total : 25.1% |
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