Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
8 | Sporting Kansas City | 18 | -12 | 16 |
9 | Chicago Fire | 16 | -8 | 14 |
10 | DC United | 15 | -10 | 14 |
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
1 | Philadelphia Union | 16 | 10 | 29 |
2 | New York Red Bulls | 17 | 5 | 26 |
3 | CF Montreal | 16 | 4 | 26 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chicago Fire win with a probability of 48.28%. A draw had a probability of 26.5% and a win for Philadelphia Union had a probability of 25.24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chicago Fire win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.33%) and 2-1 (9.09%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.48%), while for a Philadelphia Union win it was 0-1 (8.57%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Chicago Fire in this match.
Result | ||
Chicago Fire | Draw | Philadelphia Union |
48.28% ( -0.17) | 26.47% ( 0.08) | 25.24% ( 0.09) |
Both teams to score 47.73% ( -0.16) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
43.82% ( -0.24) | 56.18% ( 0.25) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
22.76% ( -0.2) | 77.24% ( 0.2) |
Chicago Fire Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.69% ( -0.18) | 23.31% ( 0.18) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.75% ( -0.27) | 57.25% ( 0.27) |
Philadelphia Union Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.24% ( -0.06) | 37.76% ( 0.06) |