Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chicago Fire win with a probability of 55.85%. A win for Real Salt Lake had a probability of 22.22% and a draw had a probability of 21.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chicago Fire win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.79%) and 2-0 (8.55%). The likeliest Real Salt Lake win was 1-2 (5.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.11%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chicago Fire would win this match.
