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Major League Soccer | Gameweek 18
Jul 25, 2021 at 1.30am UK
Pizza Hut Park
LG

Dallas
4 - 0
LA Galaxy

Pepi (27', 44', 50'), Obrian (88')
Ricaurte (18'), Maurer (78')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Saldana (22'), Araujo (59'), Acosta (83')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dallas win with a probability of 57.56%. A draw had a probability of 21.5% and a win for Los Angeles Galaxy had a probability of 20.91%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dallas win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.9%) and 2-0 (8.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.95%), while for a Los Angeles Galaxy win it was 1-2 (5.56%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dallas would win this match.

Result
DallasDrawLos Angeles Galaxy
57.56%21.53%20.91%
Both teams to score 58.08%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.02%39.99%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.65%62.35%
Dallas Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.31%13.69%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.09%40.91%
Los Angeles Galaxy Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.29%32.71%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.74%69.26%
Score Analysis
    Dallas 57.56%
    Los Angeles Galaxy 20.91%
    Draw 21.53%
DallasDrawLos Angeles Galaxy
2-1 @ 9.89%
1-0 @ 8.9%
2-0 @ 8.85%
3-1 @ 6.56%
3-0 @ 5.87%
3-2 @ 3.67%
4-1 @ 3.26%
4-0 @ 2.92%
4-2 @ 1.82%
5-1 @ 1.3%
5-0 @ 1.16%
Other @ 3.36%
Total : 57.56%
1-1 @ 9.95%
2-2 @ 5.53%
0-0 @ 4.48%
3-3 @ 1.37%
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 21.53%
1-2 @ 5.56%
0-1 @ 5%
0-2 @ 2.8%
1-3 @ 2.07%
2-3 @ 2.06%
0-3 @ 1.04%
Other @ 2.38%
Total : 20.91%

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