SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Houston Dynamo win with a probability of 56.19%. A win for Los Angeles Galaxy had a probability of 22.55% and a draw had a probability of 21.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Houston Dynamo win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.92%) and 1-0 (7.76%). The likeliest Los Angeles Galaxy win was 1-2 (5.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.53%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Houston Dynamo in this match.
| Result | ||
| Houston Dynamo | Draw | Los Angeles Galaxy |
56.19% ( 0.36) | 21.25% ( 0.01) | 22.55% ( -0.37) |
| Both teams to score 61.55% ( -0.57) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 63.47% ( -0.52) | 36.52% ( 0.52) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 41.33% ( -0.57) | 58.67% ( 0.57) |
| Houston Dynamo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.04% ( -0.06) | 12.96% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 60.55% ( -0.13) | 39.45% ( 0.13) |
| Los Angeles Galaxy Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.72% ( -0.6) | 29.28% ( 0.6) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.75% ( -0.74) | 65.24% ( 0.75) |
| Score Analysis |
| Houston Dynamo | Draw | Los Angeles Galaxy |
| 2-1 @ 9.73% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 7.92% ( 0.16)1-0 @ 7.76% ( 0.18)3-1 @ 6.63% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 5.4% ( 0.1)3-2 @ 4.07% ( -0.06)4-1 @ 3.38% ( -0)4-0 @ 2.76% ( 0.04)4-2 @ 2.08% ( -0.04)5-1 @ 1.38% ( -0)5-0 @ 1.13% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.97% Total : 56.19% | 1-1 @ 9.53% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 5.98% ( -0.08)0-0 @ 3.8% ( 0.1)3-3 @ 1.67% ( -0.05)Other @ 0.29% Total : 21.25% | 1-2 @ 5.85% ( -0.06) 0-1 @ 4.66% ( 0.04)0-2 @ 2.86% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 2.45% ( -0.07)1-3 @ 2.4% ( -0.07)0-3 @ 1.17% ( -0.03)Other @ 3.17% Total : 22.55% |
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