SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Houston Dynamo win with a probability of 46.49%. A win for Real Salt Lake had a probability of 29.31% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Houston Dynamo win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.95%) and 2-0 (7.39%). The likeliest Real Salt Lake win was 1-2 (7.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.31%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Houston Dynamo | Draw | Real Salt Lake |
46.49% ( -0.43) | 24.2% ( 0.08) | 29.31% ( 0.34) |
| Both teams to score 57.97% ( -0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.74% ( -0.18) | 44.26% ( 0.18) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.36% ( -0.18) | 66.64% ( 0.18) |
| Houston Dynamo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.81% ( -0.25) | 19.18% ( 0.25) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.14% ( -0.41) | 50.86% ( 0.41) |
| Real Salt Lake Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.73% ( 0.14) | 28.27% ( -0.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.01% ( 0.18) | 63.98% ( -0.18) |
| Score Analysis |
| Houston Dynamo | Draw | Real Salt Lake |
| 2-1 @ 9.34% ( -0.04) 1-0 @ 8.95% ( 0)2-0 @ 7.39% ( -0.06)3-1 @ 5.14% ( -0.06)3-0 @ 4.07% ( -0.06)3-2 @ 3.25% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 2.12% ( -0.04)4-0 @ 1.68% ( -0.04)4-2 @ 1.34% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.2% Total : 46.49% | 1-1 @ 11.31% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 5.9% ( 0)0-0 @ 5.42% ( 0.04)3-3 @ 1.37% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.19% | 1-2 @ 7.15% ( 0.06) 0-1 @ 6.85% ( 0.08)0-2 @ 4.33% ( 0.07)1-3 @ 3.01% ( 0.04)2-3 @ 2.48% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 1.82% ( 0.04)1-4 @ 0.95% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.72% Total : 29.31% |
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