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Major League Soccer
Jul 5, 2022 at 3.30am UK
The Home Depot Center
MI
LA Galaxy
4 - 0
Montreal
Hernandez (8'), Joveljic (45+4' pen.), Raveloson (60', 79')
Delgado (27')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Piette (38'), Miljevic (90')

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Los Angeles Galaxy 2-1 CF Montreal

It may be the warm climate of California or some psychological issue, but Montreal have struggled with the playing surfaces and conditions in the City of Angeles, failing to beat either LA squad away from home. Their leaky defence still needs work, but we anticipate that the Galaxy's attacking quality will make up for those shortcomings on Monday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Los Angeles Galaxy win with a probability of 53.21%. A draw had a probability of 23.5% and a win for CF Montreal had a probability of 23.27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Los Angeles Galaxy win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.77%) and 2-0 (9.05%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.12%), while for a CF Montreal win it was 0-1 (6.34%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Los Angeles Galaxy would win this match.

Result
Los Angeles GalaxyDrawCF Montreal
53.21% (0.056000000000004 0.06) 23.52% (0.206 0.21) 23.27% (-0.263 -0.26)
Both teams to score 54.62% (-0.997 -1)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.89% (-1.172 -1.17)46.11% (1.171 1.17)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.59% (-1.118 -1.12)68.41% (1.116 1.12)
Los Angeles Galaxy Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.72% (-0.408 -0.41)17.28% (0.408 0.41)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.39% (-0.71899999999999 -0.72)47.61% (0.719 0.72)
CF Montreal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.03% (-0.875 -0.88)33.97% (0.874 0.87)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.35% (-0.957 -0.96)70.65% (0.956 0.96)
Score Analysis
    Los Angeles Galaxy 53.21%
    CF Montreal 23.27%
    Draw 23.51%
Los Angeles GalaxyDrawCF Montreal
1-0 @ 10.3% (0.363 0.36)
2-1 @ 9.77% (-0.0089999999999986 -0.01)
2-0 @ 9.05% (0.206 0.21)
3-1 @ 5.72% (-0.083 -0.08)
3-0 @ 5.3% (0.05 0.05)
3-2 @ 3.09% (-0.12 -0.12)
4-1 @ 2.51% (-0.072 -0.07)
4-0 @ 2.32% (-0.01 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.36% (-0.072 -0.07)
Other @ 3.8%
Total : 53.21%
1-1 @ 11.12% (0.14 0.14)
0-0 @ 5.87% (0.286 0.29)
2-2 @ 5.27% (-0.133 -0.13)
3-3 @ 1.11% (-0.072 -0.07)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 23.51%
0-1 @ 6.34% (0.164 0.16)
1-2 @ 6.01% (-0.068 -0.07)
0-2 @ 3.42% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.16% (-0.078 -0.08)
2-3 @ 1.9% (-0.095 -0.1)
0-3 @ 1.23% (-0.027 -0.03)
Other @ 2.22%
Total : 23.27%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: LA Galaxy 2-3 Minnesota Utd
Thursday, June 30 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: LA Galaxy 1-1 Portland
Saturday, June 18 at 10pm in Major League Soccer
Last Game: LA Galaxy 4-1 Austin
Sunday, May 29 at 11pm in Major League Soccer
Last Game: LA Galaxy 0-3 Houston
Monday, May 23 at 1am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Minnesota Utd 1-1 LA Galaxy
Thursday, May 19 at 1am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: LA Galaxy 1-3 Dallas
Sunday, May 15 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Seattle 1-2 Montreal
Thursday, June 30 at 3am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Montreal 2-1 Charlotte FC
Sunday, June 26 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Montreal 0-1 Austin
Sunday, June 19 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Montreal 4-3 Cincinnati
Sunday, May 29 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Montreal 1-2 Salt Lake
Sunday, May 22 at 9pm in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Nashville 2-1 Montreal
Thursday, May 19 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer

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