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Major League Soccer | Gameweek 2
Feb 27, 2022 at 10pm UK
The Home Depot Center
NY
LA Galaxy
1 - 0
NY City
Hernandez (90')
Costa (41')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Acevedo (15'), Amundsen (54'), Callens (90+5')

We said: Los Angeles Galaxy 1-3 New York City FC

The Galaxy should score plenty of goals throughout this season, but we are leaning towards New York in this one as they have played in their share of competitive fixtures heading into this MLS opener. New York can match the offensive depth of LA while being a little more compact defensively, and they should not be as rusty as the Galaxy coming into this encounter. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York City FC win with a probability of 45.45%. A win for Los Angeles Galaxy had a probability of 30.54% and a draw had a probability of 24%.

The most likely scoreline for a New York City FC win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.42%) and 0-2 (6.99%). The likeliest Los Angeles Galaxy win was 2-1 (7.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.12%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood.

Result
Los Angeles GalaxyDrawNew York City FC
30.54%24.01%45.45%
Both teams to score 59.38%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.27%42.73%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.87%65.13%
Los Angeles Galaxy Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.32%26.68%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.06%61.94%
New York City FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81%19%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.44%50.56%
Score Analysis
    Los Angeles Galaxy 30.54%
    New York City FC 45.45%
    Draw 24%
Los Angeles GalaxyDrawNew York City FC
2-1 @ 7.35%
1-0 @ 6.7%
2-0 @ 4.43%
3-1 @ 3.24%
3-2 @ 2.69%
3-0 @ 1.95%
4-1 @ 1.07%
Other @ 3.13%
Total : 30.54%
1-1 @ 11.12%
2-2 @ 6.1%
0-0 @ 5.07%
3-3 @ 1.49%
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 24%
1-2 @ 9.24%
0-1 @ 8.42%
0-2 @ 6.99%
1-3 @ 5.11%
0-3 @ 3.87%
2-3 @ 3.38%
1-4 @ 2.12%
0-4 @ 1.61%
2-4 @ 1.4%
Other @ 3.31%
Total : 45.45%

Read more!
Read more!

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