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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Los Angeles Galaxy win with a probability of 51.9%. A win for Portland Timbers had a probability of 26.46% and a draw had a probability of 21.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Los Angeles Galaxy win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (6.79%) and 1-0 (6.78%). The likeliest Portland Timbers win was 1-2 (6.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.38%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Los Angeles Galaxy | Draw | Portland Timbers |
51.9% ( -1.12) | 21.64% ( 0.31) | 26.46% ( 0.81) |
| Both teams to score 64.81% ( -0.32) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 65.75% ( -0.77) | 34.25% ( 0.77) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 43.85% ( -0.87) | 56.15% ( 0.88) |
| Los Angeles Galaxy Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.5% ( -0.6) | 13.5% ( 0.61) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 59.47% ( -1.23) | 40.53% ( 1.23) |
| Portland Timbers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.92% ( 0.15) | 25.08% ( -0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.23% ( 0.21) | 59.77% ( -0.21) |
| Score Analysis |
| Los Angeles Galaxy | Draw | Portland Timbers |
| 2-1 @ 9.39% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 6.79% ( -0.04)1-0 @ 6.78% ( 0.12)3-1 @ 6.27% ( -0.15)3-0 @ 4.53% ( -0.13)3-2 @ 4.33% ( -0.09)4-1 @ 3.14% ( -0.15)4-0 @ 2.27% ( -0.12)4-2 @ 2.17% ( -0.09)5-1 @ 1.26% ( -0.09)4-3 @ 1% ( -0.04)5-0 @ 0.91% ( -0.07)Other @ 3.07% Total : 51.9% | 1-1 @ 9.38% ( 0.2) 2-2 @ 6.49% ( 0.02)0-0 @ 3.39% ( 0.13)3-3 @ 2% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.39% Total : 21.64% | 1-2 @ 6.49% ( 0.17) 0-1 @ 4.68% ( 0.2)0-2 @ 3.24% ( 0.15)2-3 @ 2.99% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 2.99% ( 0.09)0-3 @ 1.49% ( 0.08)2-4 @ 1.04% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 1.03% ( 0.04)Other @ 2.51% Total : 26.46% |
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