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Major League Soccer | Gameweek 28
Sep 4, 2021 at 3am UK
Banc of California Stadium
SK

Los Angeles
4 - 0
Kansas

Ibra Mbacke Fall (18', 61'), Arango (71'), Atuesta (87' pen.)
Ibeagha (41'), Duke (77'), Musovski (79')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Melia (85')
Espinoza (58')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Los Angeles FC win with a probability of 52.7%. A draw had a probability of 24.1% and a win for Sporting Kansas City had a probability of 23.24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Los Angeles FC win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.7%) and 2-0 (9.31%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.43%), while for a Sporting Kansas City win it was 0-1 (6.74%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Los Angeles FC would win this match.

Result
Los Angeles FCDrawSporting Kansas City
52.7%24.06%23.24%
Both teams to score 52.85%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.57%48.43%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.43%70.56%
Los Angeles FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.66%18.33%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.56%49.43%
Sporting Kansas City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.72%35.28%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.96%72.03%
Score Analysis
    Los Angeles FC 52.7%
    Sporting Kansas City 23.24%
    Draw 24.06%
Los Angeles FCDrawSporting Kansas City
1-0 @ 10.97%
2-1 @ 9.7%
2-0 @ 9.31%
3-1 @ 5.48%
3-0 @ 5.26%
3-2 @ 2.86%
4-1 @ 2.33%
4-0 @ 2.23%
4-2 @ 1.21%
Other @ 3.35%
Total : 52.7%
1-1 @ 11.43%
0-0 @ 6.47%
2-2 @ 5.05%
3-3 @ 0.99%
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 24.06%
0-1 @ 6.74%
1-2 @ 5.96%
0-2 @ 3.51%
1-3 @ 2.07%
2-3 @ 1.75%
0-3 @ 1.22%
Other @ 1.99%
Total : 23.24%

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